BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Central Florida
Class: 1A Class Rank: 32 Conference: American Athletic Conference Record: (6-3) Overall: (9-4) Overall Strength = 158.58
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/01/2022 Home W 150.64 56 10 1B 108 ( 3- 8) South Carolina St -7.33 * 53.33
2 09/09/2022 Home L 151.63 14 20 1A 28 ( 7- 5) Louisville -6.34 0.34
3 09/17/2022 Away W 171.91 40 14 1A 82 ( 5- 7) Florida Atlantic 13.94 12.06
4 09/24/2022 Home W 157.02 27 10 1A 93 ( 5- 7) Georgia Tech -0.95 17.95
5 10/05/2022 Home W * 172.91 41 19 1A 49 ( 7- 5) SMU 14.94 7.06
6 10/13/2022 Home W * 191.00 70 13 1A 107 ( 3- 9) Temple 33.03 23.97
7 10/22/2022 Away L * 131.87 13 34 1A 62 ( 7- 5) East Carolina -26.10 5.10
8 10/29/2022 Home W * 158.25 25 21 1A 47 ( 9- 3) Cincinnati 0.28 3.72
9 11/05/2022 Away W * 163.13 35 28 1A 57 ( 6- 6) Memphis 5.16 1.84
10 11/12/2022 Away W * 170.45 38 31 1A 19 ( 11- 2) Tulane 12.48 -5.48
11 11/19/2022 Home L * 142.66 14 17 1A 74 ( 4- 7) Navy -15.31 12.31
12 11/26/2022 Away W * 145.67 46 39 1A 104 ( 1- 11) South Florida -12.30 19.30
13 12/03/2022 Away L * 146.45 28 45 1A 19 ( 11- 2) Tulane -11.52 -5.48
Averages 157.97 34.4 23.2
Best game: 191.00 = 57 point win over Temple
Worst game: 131.87 = 21 point loss to East Carolina
Team stdev: 15.77